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Badenoch Warns Early Release Scheme May Free Child Sex Offenders

Badenoch Warns Early Release Scheme May Free Child Sex Offenders

Kemi Badenoch says the early release scheme could still let some child sex offenders out of jail early, calling it a betrayal of victims.

Kemi Badenoch has warned that the government’s early release scheme could still see child sex offenders and other serious criminals freed from jail ahead of schedule. The Tory leader said the plan amounts to a betrayal of victims and pressed the government to publish the full list of offences that will remain eligible for early release.

The dispute centres on a prison system under strain in England and Wales, where the government plans to release about 5,000 offenders well before the end of their sentences to ease overcrowding. Under the revised policy, people convicted of rape, serious child sex offences and grooming offences will not be eligible for early release from October. But Badenoch said that leaves room for offenders convicted under other categories, including indecent assault against children, to be freed sooner than many families would expect.

In a letter, Badenoch argued that the government had told the country one thing while leaving other offences exposed under the fine print. She pointed to indecent assault as a category not included in the government’s list of exclusions and said many child sex abuse cases committed before 2004 were charged that way, including cases linked to Rotherham and Rochdale. She said that omission was especially serious because it could allow people convicted of sexual offences against children to qualify for the scheme.

The government has not yet confirmed exactly which offenders will be released. But the current rules suggest some prisoners who are not specifically excluded could be let out after serving a third of their sentence rather than after 40% or 50% of it. The changes will be rolled out in stages, starting with prisoners serving less than 575 days and extending to inmates jailed for 12 years or more, who could become eligible in June 2027.

Burnham said he wanted to exclude more offenders, but said prison overcrowding made that impossible. He warned that expanding the exclusions further would risk collapsing the prison system and put the public at much greater risk. The prison population in England and Wales stood at 86,495 on August 3, which was 97% of usable capacity, underscoring how tight the system has become.

The pressure on prisons has been building for years as the number of places has failed to keep pace with the rise in the prison population. That backdrop explains why the government is trying to create space through early releases, even as it faces criticism over which offenders still qualify. The argument now is not only about capacity, but about where the line should be drawn when public safety and victim confidence are on the same scale.

Cases already cited in the debate show why the issue has become so sensitive. Ajaz Karim was jailed in December 2024 for 21 months after being convicted of indecent assault for sexually abusing a 13-year-old girl at the school where he worked as a sports coach. Shahid Hussain was jailed for eight years in September 2024 after being convicted of indecently assaulting a 14-year-old girl in Rotherham in 2003.

The family of PC Andrew Harper has also said it was devastated to learn that two men jailed after his death would still be eligible for early release. Harper, 28, was killed in 2019 when he was dragged by a car down a country road as three teenagers fled the scene of a quad bike theft in Berkshire. For many readers, the early release scheme now raises a familiar question: how does a government relieve prison pressure without eroding trust in justice for victims and their families?

Frequently asked questions

What is Badenoch objecting to?
She says the early release scheme may still allow some offenders convicted of sexually abusing children to leave jail early. She called that a betrayal of victims and asked for the full eligible-offence list.
What changes has the government made to the scheme?
Offenders convicted of rape, serious child sex offences and grooming offences will not qualify for early release from October. The government says about 5,000 extra releases are planned in 10 batches.
Why is the government defending the scheme?
Burnham said more exclusions were not possible because prison overcrowding could push the system toward collapse. He said that would leave the public at much greater risk.
How crowded are the prisons?
The prison population in England And Wales was 86,495 on August 3, which the government said was 97% of usable capacity.
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